eprintid: 1069 rev_number: 10 eprint_status: archive userid: 6 dir: disk0/00/00/10/69 datestamp: 2012-01-19 13:11:43 lastmod: 2014-01-24 14:23:18 status_changed: 2012-01-19 13:11:43 type: monograph metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Riccaboni, Massimo creators_name: Schiavo, Stefano creators_id: massimo.riccaboni@imtlucca.it creators_id: title: The structure and growth of international trade ispublished: pub subjects: HB subjects: HD divisions: EIC full_text_status: none monograph_type: working_paper abstract: The paper develops a model of proportionate growth to describe the dynamics of international trade flows. We show that a large number of the empirical regularities characterizing international trade -such as the fraction of zero trade flows across pairs of countries, the positive relationship between intensive and extensive margins, the high concentration of trade with respect to both products and destinations, the core-periphery structure of exchanges- are well explained by this simple stochastic setup. This helps us to distinguish among economically relevant regularities and those simply resulting from the mechanical interactions among agents. Furthermore, our model can be used to describe the process of `self-discovery' that lie at the foundations of suc- cessful export-led growth and is thought to play a crucial role in the process of economic development. Our model correctly predicts that large export flows are rare events, as pointed out in the empirical literature: yet, countries characterized by large `discovery' efforts are much more likely to draw a `big hit' due to the (very skewed) shape of the distribution of bilateral export flows. date: 2010 date_type: published number: pages: 34 institution: University of Trento department: Department of Economics official_url: http://www.unitn.it/files/05_10.pdf citation: Riccaboni, Massimo and Schiavo, Stefano The structure and growth of international trade. Working Paper # /2010