%D 2013 %L eprints1540 %A Orion Penner %A Alexander M. Petersen %A Raj K. Pan %A Santo Fortunato %J Physics Today %R 10.1063/PT.3.1928 %N 4 %T Commentary: The case for caution in predicting scientists? future impact %P 8-9 %I American Institute of Physics %V 66