eprintid: 2196 rev_number: 10 eprint_status: archive userid: 6 dir: disk0/00/00/21/96 datestamp: 2014-05-13 09:07:10 lastmod: 2014-07-07 10:27:41 status_changed: 2014-05-13 09:07:10 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Caldarelli, Guido creators_name: Chessa, Alessandro creators_name: Pammolli, Fabio creators_name: Pompa, Gabriele creators_name: Puliga, Michelangelo creators_name: Riccaboni, Massimo creators_name: Riotta, Gianni creators_id: guido.caldarelli@imtlucca.it creators_id: alessandro.chessa@imtlucca.it creators_id: f.pammolli@imtlucca.it creators_id: gabriele.pompa@imtlucca.it creators_id: michelangelo.puliga@imtlucca.it creators_id: massimo.riccaboni@imtlucca.it creators_id: title: A multi-level geographical study of Italian political elections from Twitter Data ispublished: pub subjects: HB subjects: JC subjects: QA75 divisions: EIC full_text_status: public abstract: In this paper we present an analysis of the behavior of Italian Twitter users during national political elections. We monitor the volumes of the tweets related to the leaders of the various political parties and we compare them to the elections results. Furthermore, we study the topics that are associated with the co-occurrence of two politicians in the same tweet. We cannot conclude, from a simple statistical analysis of tweet volume and their time evolution, that it is possible to precisely predict the election outcome (or at least not in our case of study that was characterized by a “too-close-to-call” scenario). On the other hand, we found that the volume of tweets and their change in time provide a very good proxy of the final results. We present this analysis both at a national level and at smaller levels, ranging from the regions composing the country to macro-areas (North, Center, South). date: 2014-05 date_type: published publication: PloS One volume: 9 number: 5 publisher: Public Library of Science pagerange: e95809 id_number: doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0095809 refereed: TRUE issn: 1932-6203 official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0095809 citation: Caldarelli, Guido and Chessa, Alessandro and Pammolli, Fabio and Pompa, Gabriele and Puliga, Michelangelo and Riccaboni, Massimo and Riotta, Gianni A multi-level geographical study of Italian political elections from Twitter Data. PloS One, 9 (5). e95809. ISSN 1932-6203 (2014) document_url: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/2196/1/journal.pone.0095809.pdf