eprintid: 2261 rev_number: 14 eprint_status: archive userid: 6 dir: disk0/00/00/22/61 datestamp: 2014-07-22 14:24:57 lastmod: 2014-07-22 14:24:57 status_changed: 2014-07-22 14:24:57 type: monograph metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Jevtić, Petar creators_name: Regis, Luca creators_id: creators_id: luca.regis@imtlucca.it title: Assessing the solvency of insurance portfolios via a continuous time cohort model ispublished: pub subjects: HB subjects: HD61 subjects: HG divisions: EIC full_text_status: public monograph_type: imt_eic_working_paper keywords: longevity risk; natural hedging; continuous-time cohort models for longevity; solvency of insurance portfolios; solvency requirements; longevity and interest-rate risk - JEL classification: G22, G32 abstract: This paper evaluates the solvency of a portfolio of assets and liabilities of an insurer subject to both longevity and financial risks. Liabilities are evaluated at fair-value and, as a consequence, interest-rate risk can affect both the assets and the liabilities. Longevity risk is described via a continuous-time cohort model. We evaluate the effects of natural hedging strategies on the risk profile of an insurance portfolio in run-off. Numerical simulations, calibrated to UK historical data, show that systematic longevity risk is of particular importance and needs to be hedged. Natural hedging can improve the solvency of the insurer, if interest-rate risk is appropriately managed. We stress that asset allocation choices should not be independent of the composition of the liability portfolio of the insurer. date: 2014-07 date_type: published number: 7 publisher: IMT Institute for Advanced Studies Lucca pages: 37 institution: IMT Institute for Advanced Studies Lucca issn: 2279-6894 citation: Jevtić, Petar and Regis, Luca Assessing the solvency of insurance portfolios via a continuous time cohort model. EIC working paper series #7/2014 IMT Institute for Advanced Studies Lucca ISSN 2279-6894. document_url: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/2261/1/EIC_WP_7_2014.pdf