relation: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/2403/ title: Analytically solvable model of spreading dynamics with non-Poissonian processes creator: Jo, Hang-Hyun creator: Perotti, Juan I. creator: Kaski, Kimmo creator: Kertész, János subject: QC Physics description: Non-Poissonian bursty processes are ubiquitous in natural and social phenomena, yet little is known about their effects on the large-scale spreading dynamics. In order to characterize these effects, we devise an analytically solvable model of susceptible-infected spreading dynamics in infinite systems for arbitrary inter-event time distributions and for the whole time range. Our model is stationary from the beginning, and the role of the lower bound of inter-event times is explicitly considered. The exact solution shows that for early and intermediate times, the burstiness accelerates the spreading as compared to a Poisson-like process with the same mean and same lower bound of inter-event times. Such behavior is opposite for late-time dynamics in finite systems, where the power-law distribution of inter-event times results in a slower and algebraic convergence to a fully infected state in contrast to the exponential decay of the Poisson-like process. We also provide an intuitive argument for the exponent characterizing algebraic convergence. publisher: American Physical Society date: 2014-03 type: Article type: PeerReviewed format: application/pdf language: en rights: cc_by_nd identifier: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/2403/1/PhysRevX_Perotti_2014.pdf identifier: Jo, Hang-Hyun and Perotti, Juan I. and Kaski, Kimmo and Kertész, János Analytically solvable model of spreading dynamics with non-Poissonian processes. Physical Review X, 4. 011041. ISSN 2160-3308 (2014) relation: http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevX.4.011041 relation: 10.1103/PhysRevX.4.011041