eprintid: 2804 rev_number: 6 eprint_status: archive userid: 69 dir: disk0/00/00/28/04 datestamp: 2015-11-02 14:47:45 lastmod: 2015-11-02 14:47:45 status_changed: 2015-11-02 14:47:45 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Sufrauj, ShamnaazB. creators_name: Schiavo, Stefano creators_name: Riccaboni, Massimo creators_id: creators_id: creators_id: massimo.riccaboni@imtlucca.it title: Big hits, export concentration and volatility ispublished: pub subjects: HB subjects: HD28 divisions: EIC full_text_status: none keywords: Big hits; Trade networks; Export concentration; Industrial policy; Volatility of trade. JEL Codes: F13; F14; F43; O19 abstract: Recent empirical work has documented the high concentration of trade flows, and the large role played by few “big hits” in each country’s export. We propose a simple stochastic benchmark against which we assess each economy’s actual number of “big hits”. We show that most European countries underperform the benchmark, while China, the US and Germany do better. A low number of “big hits” (relative to our prediction) is associated with higher export volatility. Looking at possible determinants of “big hits”, we find they depend on the actual performance of each country, so that industrial policy needs to be country-specific. date: 2015 date_type: published publication: Economia Politica volume: 32 number: 2 publisher: Springer International Publishing pagerange: 135-166 id_number: 10.1007/s40888-015-0014-y refereed: TRUE issn: 1973-820X official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40888-015-0014-y citation: Sufrauj, ShamnaazB. and Schiavo, Stefano and Riccaboni, Massimo Big hits, export concentration and volatility. Economia Politica, 32 (2). pp. 135-166. ISSN 1973-820X (2015)