eprintid: 3552 rev_number: 10 eprint_status: archive userid: 69 dir: disk0/00/00/35/52 datestamp: 2016-10-04 10:57:25 lastmod: 2016-10-04 11:02:28 status_changed: 2016-10-04 10:57:25 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Battiston, Stefano creators_name: Caldarelli, Guido creators_name: May, Robert M. creators_name: Roukny, Tarik creators_name: Stiglitz, Joseph E. creators_id: creators_id: guido.caldarelli@imtlucca.it creators_id: creators_id: creators_id: title: The price of complexity in financial networks ispublished: pub subjects: QC divisions: CSA full_text_status: public keywords: Financial contagion, Financial networks, Complexity, Default probability, Systemic risk note: SCOPUS ID: 2-s2.0-8498632199 abstract: Financial institutions form multilayer networks by engaging in contracts with each other and by holding exposures to common assets. As a result, the default probability of one institution depends on the default probability of all of the other institutions in the network. Here, we show how small errors on the knowledge of the network of contracts can lead to large errors in the probability of systemic defaults. From the point of view of financial regulators, our findings show that the complexity of financial networks may decrease the ability to mitigate systemic risk, and thus it may increase the social cost of financial crises. date: 2016 date_type: published publication: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences volume: 113 number: 36 publisher: PNAS pagerange: 10031-10036 id_number: 10.1073/pnas.1521573113 refereed: TRUE issn: 1091-6490 official_url: http://www.pnas.org/content/113/36/10031.abstract referencetext: Haldane AG, May RM (2011) Systemic risk in banking ecosystems. Nature 469(7330): 351–355. Bank of England (2013) A Framework for Stress Testing the UK Banking System (Bank England, London). 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Adv Appl Math 26(3):237–251. Anand K, Bianconi G (2009) Entropy measures for networks: toward an information theory of complex topologies. Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys 80(4 Pt 2): 045102. projects: FET project SIMPOL (nr. 610704) projects: FET Project DOLFINS (nr. 640772) projects: FET IP Project MULTIPLEX (nr. 317532) projects: SoBigData (nr.654024) citation: Battiston, Stefano and Caldarelli, Guido and May, Robert M. and Roukny, Tarik and Stiglitz, Joseph E. The price of complexity in financial networks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113 (36). pp. 10031-10036. ISSN 1091-6490 (2016) document_url: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/3552/1/PNAS-2016-Battiston-10031-6.pdf