eprintid: 3571 rev_number: 6 eprint_status: archive userid: 69 dir: disk0/00/00/35/71 datestamp: 2016-10-06 14:19:46 lastmod: 2016-10-06 14:19:46 status_changed: 2016-10-06 14:19:46 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Magazzini, Laura creators_name: Pammolli, Fabio creators_name: Riccaboni, Massimo creators_id: creators_id: f.pammolli@imtlucca.it creators_id: massimo.riccaboni@imtlucca.it title: Real Options and Incremental Search in Pharmaceutical R&D Project Portfolio Management ispublished: pub subjects: HD28 subjects: RM divisions: EIC full_text_status: none note: SCOPUS ID: 2-s2.0-84929774441 abstract: This paper investigates the role of real options reasoning in R&D project portfolio management and investment decisions of pharmaceutical firms. We analyse a unique dataset that integrates information on initiation and termination of clinical trials at the level of specific medical indications. Consistent with existing literature, we find a positive relationship between market size and firm entry in clinical trials. We also show that the option value of R&D investments, as proxied by the scope of R&D projects, affects the selection of target markets. Moreover, high-risk research areas attract more entry, in line with the predictions of real options theory. However, we also find that more flexibility in project duration and delayed project discontinuation attract higher rates of entry. Departures from pure real options reasoning are motivated by the presence of incremental learning in pharmaceutical R&D. date: 2015 date_type: published publication: Creativity and Innovation Management volume: 25 number: 2 publisher: Wiley pagerange: 292-302 id_number: doi:10.1111/caim.12119 refereed: TRUE issn: 09631690 official_url: http://doi.org/10.1111/caim.12119 referencetext: Abrantes-Metz, R., Adams, C. and Metz, A. (2006) Pharmaceutical Development Phases: A Duration Analysis. 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