eprintid: 3650
rev_number: 12
eprint_status: archive
userid: 6
dir: disk0/00/00/36/50
datestamp: 2017-01-31 10:17:27
lastmod: 2017-03-21 11:05:23
status_changed: 2017-01-31 10:17:27
type: monograph
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: De Angelis, Enrico
creators_name: Metulini, Rodolfo
creators_name: Bove, Vincenzo
creators_name: Riccaboni, Massimo
creators_id: 
creators_id: 
creators_id: 
creators_id: massimo.riccaboni@imtlucca.it
title: Virtual Water Trade and Bilateral Conflicts
ispublished: pub
subjects: HB
divisions: EIC
full_text_status: public
monograph_type: imt_eic_working_paper
keywords: JEL codes: F51; Q25;
Keywords: Conflicts; International Trade; Water Scarcity; Virtual Water; Strategic Commodities
abstract: In light of growing water scarcity, virtual water, or the water embedded in key water-intensive commodities, has been an active area of debate among practitioners and academics alike. As of yet, however, there is no consensus on whether water scarcity affects conflict behavior and we still lack empirical research intending to account for the role of virtual water in affecting the odds of militarized disputes between states. Using quantitative methods and data on virtual water trade, we find that bilateral and multilateral trade openness reduce the probability of war between any given pair of country, which is consistent with the strategic role of this important commodity and the opportunity cost associated with the loss of trade gains. We also find that the substantive effect of virtual water trade is comparable to that of oil and gas, the archetypal natural resources, in determining interstate conflicts’ probability.
date: 2017-01
number: 2
publisher: IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca
pages: 29
institution: IMT school for Advanced Studies Lucca
issn: 2279-6894
citation:   De Angelis, Enrico and Metulini, Rodolfo and Bove, Vincenzo and Riccaboni, Massimo  Virtual Water Trade and Bilateral Conflicts.  EIC working paper series  #2/2017    IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca    ISSN 2279-6894.      
document_url: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/3650/1/EIC_WP_2_2017.pdf