TY - RPRT Y1 - 2018/02// EP - 44 A1 - Belmonte, Alessandro A1 - Teobaldelli, Désirée A1 - Ticchi, Davide UR - http://eprints.imtlucca.it/3894/ PB - IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca TI - Tax Morale, Fiscal Capacity, and Wars SN - 2279-6894 AV - public M1 - imt_eic_working_paper N2 - This paper studies how mobilization for war motivates citizens to contribute to their own community and therefore help forming tax morale in a constituency. We derive a theoretical model to investigate government's decision to expand tax revenues from alternative sources, namely changing the country's culture of tax compliance or expanding fiscal capacity. Despite the two are initially substitute, we show how in equilibrium dynamic complementarity arises. Our mechanism exploits exogenous variation in the cost of tax morale formation, induced by an expected war (either internal or external) that makes easier for the government to mobilize the constituency. We motivate our theory through a novel cross-country analysis that uses information on war frequency, tax morale, and fiscal capacity. We additionally discuss some historical cases consistent with our mechanism. ID - eprints3894 KW - Keywords: tax morale KW - state capacity KW - external threat KW - civil wars KW - dynamic complementarity KW - culture and institutions. - JEL Classification: P16 KW - H11 KW - H26 KW - H41 ER -