eprintid: 3894 rev_number: 10 eprint_status: archive userid: 6 dir: disk0/00/00/38/94 datestamp: 2018-02-05 10:15:50 lastmod: 2018-02-05 10:15:50 status_changed: 2018-02-05 10:15:50 type: monograph metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Belmonte, Alessandro creators_name: Teobaldelli, Désirée creators_name: Ticchi, Davide creators_id: alessandro.belmonte@imtlucca.it creators_id: creators_id: title: Tax Morale, Fiscal Capacity, and Wars ispublished: pub subjects: HB divisions: EIC full_text_status: public monograph_type: imt_eic_working_paper keywords: Keywords: tax morale, state capacity, external threat, civil wars, dynamic complementarity, culture and institutions. - JEL Classification: P16, H11, H26, H41 abstract: This paper studies how mobilization for war motivates citizens to contribute to their own community and therefore help forming tax morale in a constituency. We derive a theoretical model to investigate government's decision to expand tax revenues from alternative sources, namely changing the country's culture of tax compliance or expanding fiscal capacity. Despite the two are initially substitute, we show how in equilibrium dynamic complementarity arises. Our mechanism exploits exogenous variation in the cost of tax morale formation, induced by an expected war (either internal or external) that makes easier for the government to mobilize the constituency. We motivate our theory through a novel cross-country analysis that uses information on war frequency, tax morale, and fiscal capacity. We additionally discuss some historical cases consistent with our mechanism. date: 2018-02 date_type: published number: 3 publisher: IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca pages: 44 institution: IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca issn: 2279-6894 citation: Belmonte, Alessandro and Teobaldelli, Désirée and Ticchi, Davide Tax Morale, Fiscal Capacity, and Wars. EIC working paper series #3/2018 IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca ISSN 2279-6894. document_url: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/3894/1/EIC_WP_3_2018.pdf