<> "The repository administrator has not yet configured an RDF license."^^ . <> . . . "Predicting Exporters with Machine Learning"^^ . "In this contribution, we exploit machine learning techniques to predict out-of-sample firms'\r\nability to export based on the financial accounts of both exporters and non-exporters. Therefore,\r\nwe show how forecasts can be used as exporting scores, i.e., to measure the distance of\r\nnon-exporters from export status. For our purpose, we train and test various algorithms on the\r\nfinancial reports of 57,021 manufacturing firms in France in 2010-2018. We find that a Bayesian\r\nAdditive Regression Tree with Missingness In Attributes (BART-MIA) performs better than\r\nother techniques with a prediction accuracy of up to 0:90. Predictions are robust to changes in\r\ndefinitions of exporters and in the presence of discontinuous exporters. Eventually, we argue\r\nthat exporting scores can be helpful for trade promotion, trade credit, and to assess firms'\r\ncompetitiveness. For example, back-of-the-envelope estimates show that a representative firm\r\nwith just below-average exporting scores needs up to 44% more cash resources and up to 2:5\r\ntimes more capital expenses to reach full export status."^^ . "2021-07" . . "3" . . . . . . . . . "Francesca"^^ . "Micocci"^^ . "Francesca Micocci"^^ . . "Armando"^^ . "Rungi"^^ . "Armando Rungi"^^ . . . . . . "Predicting Exporters with Machine Learning (PDF)"^^ . . . . . . "WP_EIC_3-2021.pdf"^^ . . "HTML Summary of #4082 \n\nPredicting Exporters with Machine Learning\n\n" . "text/html" . . . "HB Economic Theory"@en . . . "HF Commerce"@en . . . "HG Finance"@en . .