TY - CHAP SP - 3862 Y1 - 2011/// T2 - Proceedings of the American Control Conference (ACC), 2011 A1 - Bemporad, Alberto A1 - Puglia, Laura A1 - Gabbriellini, Tommaso PB - IEEE EP - 3867 SN - 978-1-4577-0080-4 UR - http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=5991205&isnumber=5989965 KW - Contracts KW - Europe KW - Measurement uncertainty KW - Minimization KW - Portfolios KW - Predictive models KW - Stochastic processes. N2 - This paper proposes a stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach to hedging derivative contracts (such as plain vanilla and exotic options) in the presence of transaction costs. The methodology is based on the minimization of a stochastic measures of the hedging error predicted for the next trading date. Three different measures are proposed to determine the optimal composition of the replicating portfolio. The first measure is a combination of variance and expected value of the hedging error, leading to a quadratic program (QP) to solve at each trading date; the second measure is the conditional value at risk (CVaR), a common index used in finance quantifying the average loss over a subset of worst-case realizations, leading to a linear programming (LP) formulation; the third approach is of min-max type and attempts at minimizing the largest possible hedging error, also leading to a (smaller scale) linear program. The hedging performance obtained by the three different measures is tested and compared in simulation on a European call and a barrier option. AV - none TI - A stochastic model predictive control approach to dynamic option hedging with transaction costs ID - eprints745 ER -