eprintid: 769 rev_number: 17 eprint_status: archive userid: 11 dir: disk0/00/00/07/69 datestamp: 2011-08-08 13:04:15 lastmod: 2011-09-27 13:12:23 status_changed: 2011-08-08 13:04:15 type: article metadata_visibility: show item_issues_count: 0 creators_name: Acemoglu, Daron creators_name: Vindigni, Andrea creators_name: Ticchi, Davide creators_id: creators_id: andrea.vindigni@imtlucca.it creators_id: davide.ticchi@imtlucca.it title: Persistence of civil wars ispublished: pub subjects: HB subjects: HN subjects: JF divisions: EIC full_text_status: public abstract: A notable feature of post-World War II civil wars is their very long average duration. We provide a theory of the persistence of civil wars. The civilian government can successfully defeat rebellious factions only by creating a relatively strong army. In weakly-institutionalized polities this opens the way for excessive influence or coups by the military. Civilian governments whose rents are largely unaffected by civil wars then choose small and weak armies that are incapable of ending insurrections. Our framework also shows that when civilian governments need to take more decisive action against rebels, they may be forced to build over-sized armies, beyond the size necessary for fighting the insurrection, as a commitment to not reforming the military in the future. date: 2010-05 date_type: published publication: Journal of the European Economic Association volume: 8 number: 2-3 publisher: MIT Press pagerange: 664-676 id_number: 10.1111/j.1542-4774.2010.tb00536.x refereed: TRUE issn: 1542-4766 official_url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1542-4774.2010.tb00536.x citation: Acemoglu, Daron and Vindigni, Andrea and Ticchi, Davide Persistence of civil wars. Journal of the European Economic Association, 8 (2-3). pp. 664-676. ISSN 1542-4766 (2010) document_url: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/769/1/Ticchi_2010a.pdf