?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Feprints.imtlucca.it%2F88%2F&rft.title=Measurement+Error+and+Dynamic+Nonlinear+Models%3A%0D%0A(Over)Estimating+the+Effect+of+Habit&rft.creator=Katz%2C+Gabriel&rft.creator=Melton%2C+James&rft.subject=HA+Statistics&rft.subject=JF+Political+institutions+(General)&rft.description=Estimates+from+non-linear+models+are+known+to+be+inconsistent+when+the+dependent+variable%0D%0Ais+misclassified.+Although+methods+have+been+developed+to+correct+this+inconsistency+in+static%0D%0Anon-linear+models%2C+no+correction+exists+for+dynamic+non-linear+models.+This+is+a+serious+omission%0D%0Afrom+the+literature.+Since+the+lagged+dependent+variable+is+an+explanatory+variable+in+dynamic%0D%0Amodels%2C+any+inconsistency+that+arises+from+misclassifcation+of+the+dependent+variable+in+a+static%0D%0Anon-linear+model+will+be+magnifed+when+that+model+is+made+dynamic.+Here%2C+we+demonstrate%0D%0Athis+fact+using+the+habitual+voting+literature+and+develop+a+parametric+model+to+correct+for+this%0D%0Ainconsistency.+We+find+that%2C+on+average%2C+estimates+of+habitual+voting+are+approximately+twice+as%0D%0Alarge+when+using+survey+respondents'+self-reports+versus+official+records+of+their+turnout+decisions.%0D%0AWhen+we+apply+our+corrected+model+to+respondents'+self-reports%2C+however%2C+the+estimates+of%0D%0Ahabitual+voting+are+significantly+closer+to+those+provided+by+the+official+records.&rft.date=2011&rft.type=Working+Paper&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.identifier=++Katz%2C+Gabriel+and+Melton%2C+James++Measurement+Error+and+Dynamic+Nonlinear+Models%3A+(Over)Estimating+the+Effect+of+Habit.++Working+Paper+++++++(Unpublished)+++