relation: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/975/ title: A central limit theorem and its applications to multicolor randomly reinforced urns creator: Berti, Patrizia creator: Crimaldi, Irene creator: Pratelli, Luca creator: Rigo, Pietro subject: HA Statistics subject: QA Mathematics description: Let Xn be a sequence of integrable real random variables, adapted to a filtration (Gn). Define Cn = √{(1 / n)∑k=1nXk - E(Xn+1 | Gn)} and Dn = √n{E(Xn+1 | Gn) - Z}, where Z is the almost-sure limit of E(Xn+1 | Gn) (assumed to exist). Conditions for (Cn, Dn) → N(0, U) x N(0, V) stably are given, where U and V are certain random variables. In particular, under such conditions, we obtain √n{(1 / n)∑k=1nX_k - Z} = Cn + Dn → N(0, U + V) stably. This central limit theorem has natural applications to Bayesian statistics and urn problems. The latter are investigated, by paying special attention to multicolor randomly reinforced urns. publisher: Applied Probability Trust date: 2011 type: Article type: PeerReviewed identifier: Berti, Patrizia and Crimaldi, Irene and Pratelli, Luca and Rigo, Pietro A central limit theorem and its applications to multicolor randomly reinforced urns. Journal of applied probability , 48 (2). pp. 527-546. ISSN 0021-9002 (2011) relation: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.jap/1308662642 relation: 10.1239/jap/1308662642