relation: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/980/ title: Rate of convergence of predictive distributions for dependent data creator: Berti, Patrizia creator: Crimaldi, Irene creator: Pratelli, Luca creator: Rigo, Pietro subject: HA Statistics subject: QA Mathematics description: This paper deals with empirical processes of the type [C_{n}(B)=\sqrt{n}\{\mu_{n}(B)-P(X_{n+1}\in B\mid X_{1},\ldots,X_{n})\},\] where (Xn) is a sequence of random variables and μn=(1/n)∑i=1nδXi the empirical measure. Conditions for supB|Cn(B)| to converge stably (in particular, in distribution) are given, where B ranges over a suitable class of measurable sets. These conditions apply when (Xn) is exchangeable or, more generally, conditionally identically distributed (in the sense of Berti et al. [Ann. Probab. 32 (2004) 2029–2052]). By such conditions, in some relevant situations, one obtains that $\sup_{B}|C_{n}(B)|\stackrel{P}{\rightarrow}0$ or even that $\sqrt{n}\sup_{B}|C_{n}(B)|$ converges a.s. Results of this type are useful in Bayesian statistics. publisher: Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability date: 2009 type: Article type: PeerReviewed identifier: Berti, Patrizia and Crimaldi, Irene and Pratelli, Luca and Rigo, Pietro Rate of convergence of predictive distributions for dependent data. Bernoulli, 15 (4). pp. 1351-1367. ISSN 1350-7265 (2009) relation: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bj/1262962239 relation: 10.3150/09-BEJ191