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Big hits, export concentration and volatility

Sufrauj, ShamnaazB. and Schiavo, Stefano and Riccaboni, Massimo Big hits, export concentration and volatility. Economia Politica, 32 (2). pp. 135-166. ISSN 1973-820X (2015)

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Recent empirical work has documented the high concentration of trade flows, and the large role played by few “big hits” in each country’s export. We propose a simple stochastic benchmark against which we assess each economy’s actual number of “big hits”. We show that most European countries underperform the benchmark, while China, the US and Germany do better. A low number of “big hits” (relative to our prediction) is associated with higher export volatility. Looking at possible determinants of “big hits”, we find they depend on the actual performance of each country, so that industrial policy needs to be country-specific.

Item Type: Article
Identification Number: 10.1007/s40888-015-0014-y
Uncontrolled Keywords: Big hits; Trade networks; Export concentration; Industrial policy; Volatility of trade. JEL Codes: F13; F14; F43; O19
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management
Research Area: Economics and Institutional Change
Depositing User: Caterina Tangheroni
Date Deposited: 02 Nov 2015 14:47
Last Modified: 02 Nov 2015 14:47
URI: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/id/eprint/2804

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