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Persistence of civil wars

Acemoglu, Daron and Vindigni, Andrea and Ticchi, Davide Persistence of civil wars. Journal of the European Economic Association, 8 (2-3). pp. 664-676. ISSN 1542-4766 (2010)

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Abstract

A notable feature of post-World War II civil wars is their very long average duration. We provide a theory of the persistence of civil wars. The civilian government can successfully defeat rebellious factions only by creating a relatively strong army. In weakly-institutionalized polities this opens the way for excessive influence or coups by the military. Civilian governments whose rents are largely unaffected by civil wars then choose small and weak armies that are incapable of ending insurrections. Our framework also shows that when civilian governments need to take more decisive action against rebels, they may be forced to build over-sized armies, beyond the size necessary for fighting the insurrection, as a commitment to not reforming the military in the future.

Item Type: Article
Identification Number: 10.1111/j.1542-4774.2010.tb00536.x
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HN Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform
J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General)
Research Area: Economics and Institutional Change
Depositing User: Professor Andrea Vindigni
Date Deposited: 08 Aug 2011 13:04
Last Modified: 27 Sep 2011 13:12
URI: http://eprints.imtlucca.it/id/eprint/769

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